Roanoke, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

584
FXUS61 KRNK 051035
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
635 AM EDT Sun Apr 5 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Below normal temperatures mid-week... Sub-freezing temperatures
becoming more likely during the overnight and early morning
hours.

No appreciable rainfall through at least next weekend.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1. Cold front passes today, bringing rain. Cooler temperatures
and an extended dry period follows the frontal passage.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Cold front passes today, bringing rain.
Cooler temperatures and an extended dry period follows the
frontal passage.

A cold front, still situated to the west, will continue to
progress eastward through today. Rain coverage will increase
ahead of the front as it moves slowly through the region. Rain
will begin before sunrise across the mountains, then spreading
east of the mountain late morning and into early afternoon. An
occasional rumble of thunder cannot be ruled out, but overall
most convection will be confined east of the forecast area.
Rainfall amounts of 0.25" to around 0.50" can be expected, but
some heavier embedded downpours may result in some localized
higher amounts.

A much cooler airmass will settle into the region behind the
front with below normal temperatures Tues/Weds. A frost/freeze
potential exists on Wednesday morning as overnight low are
likely to fall into the 20s across the mountains and low 30s
east of the mountains. Given the recent warmth, any early season
sensitive vegetation could be impacted if preventive measures
are not taken ahead of time. Temperatures will rebound by the
end of the week, potentially above normal again.

An extended period of dry weather is expected through at least
next weekend. Drought conditions are likely to continue to
worsen and fire weather concerns could potentially increase
given continued drying of fuels.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A mixed bag of flight conditions will be the story of the day today.
Currently some low cigs are dropping a few locations to MVFR, while
others remain just above 3kft in that VFR range. Cigs will drop this
morning as a front draws nearer and brings a line of rain showers
with it. Showers may be heavy at times, so as this line moves from
west to east across the region, it will bring with it lowered cigs,
temporarily reduced vsby and strong local winds that may differ from
the prevailing wind.

Winds will be gusty ahead of the front, peaking at 20-25 kt out of
the south, and behind the front gusts will continue, but will have
turned to the northwest.


EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...

Given strong, dry high pressure in place, persistent VFR
is expected through the week.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...BMG
AVIATION...VFJ